All Macro-Thematic Trend Reports:

Fed’s next move will be wrong, no matter what…and the establishment is beginning to realize it (FFTT, 6/13/23)

“They’re between a rock and a hard place. It’s a very, very tough situation.  You’re d*mned if you raise rates significantly more and put even more pressure on the banks, but you’re d*mned if you don’t” and inflation accelerates.     – Raghuram Rajan, a former governor of the Reserve Bank of India, June 2023 Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell finds himself in a place no central banker wants to be: working to avert a credit crunch, which calls for

Read More »

Saudi tries to be the adult in the room by cutting production; will US policymakers listen? (FFTT, 6/7/23)

Saudi Arabia said global oil production could drop 30% by the end of the decade due to falling investment in fossil fuels.     -Bloomberg, 12/13/21 “The world is going back to a world that we had in the ’70s and the ’80s,” said ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance, during a panel at the conference called CERAWeek by S&P Global. He warned that OPEC would soon supply more of the world’s oil.     -Wall Street Journal, 3/9/23 Last year, for

Read More »