All Macro-Thematic Trend Reports:

Red-teaming Warsh’s options into one of the most consequential Fed meetings in years (FFTT, 6/16/26)

Fiscal authorities should resist the temptation to increase government expenditures continually in order to compensate for shortfalls of private consumption and investment. A strict economic diet of fiscal austerity has greater appeal, a kind of penance owed for the excesses of the past. But root-canal economics also does not constitute optimal economic policy.  The U.S. would be better off with a third way: pro-growth economic policy. The U.S. and world economies urgently need stronger growth,

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The Warsh, Trump narrative that higher growth need not drive higher rates is wrong (FFTT, 6/9/26)

Take the “over” on how long it will take to reshore, and how inflationary it will be.  We keep hearing policymakers and investors say “We just need to go to a ‘wartime footing’ like we did in 1940”, but “We do not think that phrase means what they think it means.”  -FFTT, 11/11/25 edition of FFTT The 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) report was a Rorschach test of sorts…the NSS was another fairy tale wish list

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Japan, Korea trading like EM’s with fiscal crises; China and gold trading like reserve currencies (FFTT, 6/2/26)

World Bank President Robert Zoellick, a former US Treasury official, calls for a system that “is likely to need to involve the dollar, the euro, the yen, the pound and a renminbi that moves towards internationalization and then an open capital account.”  He adds: “The system should also consider employing gold as an international reference point of market expectations about inflation, deflation and future currency values.”      – Financial Times, 11/7/10 The gold market and

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