All Macro-Thematic Trend Reports:

“Reverse Marshall Plan” is the new “DOGE will cut $2T of US government spending” (FFTT, 8/26/25)

US President Donald Trump’s trade policy has tied the financing of new American factories to the easing of some tariffs for foreign allies, a strategy that could channel more than $10 trillion into US manufacturing and critical industries, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said in a Fox Business interview on Wednesday.  “We have agreements in place where the Japanese, the Koreans, and to some extent the Europeans will invest in companies and industries that we direct—largely at the President’s

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3q25 TBAC says the quiet part out loud: Rate cuts are needed to keep US fiscal picture sustainable (FFTT, 8/19/25)

I think we could go into a series of rate cuts here, starting with a 50bp rate cut in September. If you look at any model, it suggests we should probably be 150-175 bps lower.     -Treasury Secretary Bessent, on Bloomberg TV, 8/13/25 I didn’t tell the Fed what to do.  What I said was that to get to a neutral rate on interest, that that would be approximately a 150-basis-point cut.  I believe that there

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US attempt at simultaneous deficit reduction, stimulus, and YCC-lite is coming together – do you see it? (FFTT, 8/12/25)

The economy was terrible under Biden, but the Fed should not have cut rates last year.  The economy is booming now, but the Fed needs to cut right here right now!  Every journalist needs to put this question to the merry band of misfits currently being floated to run the US central bank.       – Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro, via Bloomberg, 7/16/25 The answer to Dutta’s question is “Now that even the aforementioned neoliberal and

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